Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.006283 0.007017 0.007815 0.008751 0.009820 0.011007 0.012429
2025-03-23 0.005069 0.006059 0.007226 0.008712 0.010568 0.012826 0.015810
2025-03-30 0.004579 0.005729 0.007161 0.009093 0.011662 0.015004 0.019753
2025-04-06 0.003980 0.005154 0.006674 0.008818 0.011811 0.015916 0.022099
2025-04-13 0.003532 0.004705 0.006278 0.008581 0.011934 0.016748 0.024384
2025-04-20 0.003240 0.004429 0.006072 0.008563 0.012334 0.017984 0.027400
2025-04-27 0.003083 0.004319 0.006080 0.008839 0.013179 0.019964 0.031845
2025-05-04 0.002865 0.004098 0.005899 0.008803 0.013524 0.021186 0.035204
2025-05-11 0.002698 0.003935 0.005787 0.008855 0.014001 0.022663 0.039210
2025-05-18 0.002517 0.003734 0.005596 0.008755 0.014209 0.023692 0.042540
2025-05-25 0.002403 0.003628 0.005541 0.008869 0.014785 0.025427 0.047473
2025-06-01 0.002261 0.003466 0.005383 0.008791 0.015007 0.026533 0.051321
2025-06-08 0.002071 0.003218 0.005075 0.008441 0.014727 0.026715 0.053413
2025-06-15 0.001954 0.003084 0.004946 0.008400 0.015026 0.028073 0.058332
2025-06-22 0.001919 0.003081 0.005039 0.008765 0.016140 0.031221 0.067918
2025-06-29 0.001784 0.002899 0.004807 0.008501 0.015977 0.031676 0.071213
2025-07-06 0.001667 0.002741 0.004604 0.008275 0.015863 0.032215 0.074820
2025-07-13 0.001591 0.002649 0.004513 0.008258 0.016181 0.033759 0.081333
2025-07-20 0.001560 0.002635 0.004564 0.008522 0.017132 0.036888 0.092828
2025-07-27 0.001492 0.002548 0.004471 0.008488 0.017418 0.038485 0.100392
2025-08-03 0.001439 0.002486 0.004421 0.008537 0.017898 0.040624 0.110073
2025-08-10 0.001372 0.002394 0.004308 0.008442 0.018031 0.041903 0.117421
2025-08-17 0.001334 0.002354 0.004291 0.008551 0.018661 0.044574 0.129936